Patna: Following the conclusion of the final phase of polling, the political situation in Bihar is becoming more defined as exit poll results are released. The latest Axis My India survey suggests that the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is set to regain power, with an estimated 121 to 141 seats, while the Mahagathbandhan (Grand Alliance) seems to be lagging at around 118 seats. The survey highlights a strong performance by Nitish Kumar’s Janata Dal (United), which is projected to win 56–62 seats, showing an improvement from its previous count. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is anticipated to secure 50–56 seats, and the Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas) may achieve between 11–16 seats.
Smaller NDA allies, Hindustani Awam Morcha (HAM) and Rashtriya Lok Morcha (RLM), are likely to obtain 2–3 and 2–4 seats respectively. On the opposing side, the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), led by Tejashwi Yadav, remains the dominant force in the Mahagathbandhan, projected to win 67–76 seats. The Congress is expected to secure 17–21 seats, while Mukesh Sahani’s Vikassheel Insaan Party (VIP) might garner 3–5 seats. The Left parties collectively are estimated to win 10–14 seats, sustaining their influence in the state’s political arena. Meanwhile, Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj, running as an independent, is expected to have a minimal impact, with projections of 0–2 seats.